Strength in Numbers: How Polls Work and Why We Need Them

Strength in Numbers: How Polls Work and Why We Need Them

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  • Type:Epub+TxT+PDF+Mobi
  • Create Date:2022-08-29 03:42:17
  • Update Date:2025-09-24
  • Status:finish
  • Author:G. Elliott Morris
  • ISBN:0393866971
  • Environment:PC/Android/iPhone/iPad/Kindle

Summary

Public opinion polling is the ultimate democratic process; it gives every person an equal voice in letting elected leaders know what they need and want。 But in the eyes of the public, polls today are tarnished。 Recent election forecasts have routinely missed the mark and media coverage of polls has focused solely on their ability to predict winners and losers。 Polls deserve better。


In Strength in Numbers, data journalist G。 Elliott Morris argues that the larger purpose of political polls is to improve democracy, not just predict elections。 Whether used by interest groups, the press, or politicians, polling serves as a pipeline from the governed to the government, giving citizens influence they would otherwise lack。 No one who believes in democracy can afford to give up on polls; they should commit, instead, to understanding them better。


In a vibrant history of polling, Morris takes readers from the first semblance of data-gathering in the ancient world through to the development of modern-day scientific polling。 He explains how the internet and “big data” have solved many challenges in polling—and created others。 He covers the rise of polling aggregation and methods of election forecasting, reveals how data can be distorted and misrepresented, and demystifies the real uncertainty of polling。 Candidly acknowledging where polls have gone wrong in the past, Morris charts a path for the industry’s future where it can truly work for the people。


Persuasively argued and deeply researched, Strength in Numbers is an essential guide to understanding and embracing one of the most important and overlooked democratic institutions in the United States。

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Reviews

Austin Barselau

Somewhat of a rehabilitation of political polling in an era when it has been highly denigrated, as well as a nice jaunt through the history of the industry and recommendations to modernize polling methodologies to minimize error and biases

Deena B

Very informative

Josh Goodman

I thought this book was really thoughtful about the tension between the crucial role played by public opinion polling and the problems that polling faces, both historical and recent。 The history of polling that it laid out was fascinating — for example, I was completely unfamiliar with the (hilarious in retrospect) 1936 Literary Digest presidential poll and didn't know the full backstory of the famous "Dewey defeats Truman" photo。 I also think the last couple chapters' analysis of what happened I thought this book was really thoughtful about the tension between the crucial role played by public opinion polling and the problems that polling faces, both historical and recent。 The history of polling that it laid out was fascinating — for example, I was completely unfamiliar with the (hilarious in retrospect) 1936 Literary Digest presidential poll and didn't know the full backstory of the famous "Dewey defeats Truman" photo。 I also think the last couple chapters' analysis of what happened in 2016 and 2020 should be required reading for all political journalists who write about polling and elections。 But in my mind the most important argument the book makes is about the necessity of opinion polling as a way to communicate the public will to elected officials and help advance true democracy。 。。。more